« Getting back into the groove of movin' | Main | Statewide Flu Summit Webcast »

October 01, 2009

Comments

Caroline Whitbeck

H1N1flu is already widespread in the southern part of the U.S. and it is likely to be widespread here in Massachusetts well before the mid-November date when the vaccine is here projected to become available. Therefore, we can expect that most people will have been exposed before being vaccinated. Since the flu virus mutates rapidly, it can become much more virulent (even deadly, like the 1918 flu) at any time, Once it does become more virulent, it will take some time to confirm that H1N1 is in fact the cause of the more grave illness/death. During that time the flu will continue to spread (because unlike SARS, people can transmit the flu before becoming symptomatic). When will the government tell citizens how to cope in such an eventuality? Has Massachusetts a plan for coping with an influx of people fleeing to Massachusetts from urban centers, such as NYC, if the flu becomes deadly? ------------- DPH RESPONDS: Thank you for your question. The H1N1 flu spread among millions of people in the Southern Hemisphere, without significant genetic change so far. While flu viruses are predictably unpredictable, there is nothing to say that H1N1 is more likely to become more virulent. In fact, flu viruses are just as likely to become less virulent, and therefore more likely to spread among people more active because of less symptoms. We must be ready for any eventuality, but wide scale migration is not very likely, as disease activity is already very widespread, and there really wouldn’t be any sanctuary, especially if people were moving and carrying the virus with them. While people are infectious prior to symptoms, they are much less infectious than with symptoms, and that is why the isolation approach works.

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Working...
Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been saved. Comments are moderated and will not appear until approved by the author. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.

Working...

Post a comment

Comments are moderated, and will not appear until the author has approved them.